Massachusetts
W-L: (16- 3) PR = 89.4713Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Holy Cross Patriot ( 7-10, 83.6) 17- 8 211 A Penn State Big Ten (12- 7, 93.3) 9-17 214 H Vermont America Eas (10- 7, 83.2) 17-10 221 A LIU Northeast (10- 7, 74.9) 18- 2 225 H Massachusetts-Lowell America Eas ( 6-10, 79.2) 12- 6 307 H Connecticut Big East ( 7-10, 85.3) 8-12 310 A Dartmouth Ivy League ( 8- 7, 90.2) 17-14 314 A Youngstown State MAC ( 3-13, 72.3) 21- 3 319 H Central Michigan MAC ( 4-12, 74.4) 22- 1 328 A Robert Morris MAC ( 6-12, 75.4) 18- 6 401 H Bryant America Eas (10- 7, 83.6) 23- 7 404 H Akron MAC (12- 5, 80.4) 18-10 407 H Columbia Ivy League ( 7- 8, 83.4) 20- 9 411 A Eastern Michigan MAC (10- 7, 79.5) 14- 4 418 A Detroit Mercy MAC ( 0-12, 66.0) 22- 3 425 H Kent State MAC ( 7-10, 75.9) 19- 5 430 A Robert Morris MAC ( 6-12, 75.4) 14- 5 502 N Akron MAC (12- 5, 80.4) 15- 3 508 A Navy Patriot (20- 2, 93.0) 16-17
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
206 H Holy Cross 17- 8 9 7 1.77
211 A Penn State 9-17 -8 -5 - -2.76
214 H Vermont 17-10 7 8 -0.60
221 A LIU 18- 2 16 13 0.82
225 H Massachusetts-Lowell 12- 6 6 12 -- -5.66
307 H Connecticut 8-12 -4 6 --- -9.53
310 A Dartmouth 17-14 3 -2 ++ 5.12
314 A Youngstown State 21- 3 18 16 0.00
319 H Central Michigan 22- 1 21 16 0.00
328 A Robert Morris 18- 6 12 13 -0.66
401 H Bryant 23- 7 16 7 +++ 6.78
404 H Akron 18-10 8 10 - -2.45
407 H Columbia 20- 9 11 7 + 3.55
411 A Eastern Michigan 14- 4 10 9 1.41
418 A Detroit Mercy 22- 3 19 22 0.00
425 H Kent State 19- 5 14 15 0.00
430 A Robert Morris 14- 5 9 13 - -3.66
502 N Akron 15- 3 12 9 + 2.92
508 A Navy 16-17 -1 -5 + 3.92
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 H Connecticut 8-12 -4 6 --- -9.53 225 H Massachusetts-Lowell 12- 6 6 12 -- -5.66 211 A Penn State 9-17 -8 -5 - -2.76 404 H Akron 18-10 8 10 - -2.45 430 A Robert Morris 14- 5 9 13 - -3.66 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 H Bryant 23- 7 16 7 +++ 6.78 310 A Dartmouth 17-14 3 -2 ++ 5.12 407 H Columbia 20- 9 11 7 + 3.55 502 N Akron 15- 3 12 9 + 2.92 508 A Navy 16-17 -1 -5 + 3.92 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H Holy Cross ( 7-10, 83.6) 17- 8 -16.29 23.88 -1.37 0.91 41.05
3 A Penn State (12- 7, 93.3) 9-17 -6.55 33.61 1.37 0.91 -2.36
3 H Vermont (10- 7, 83.2) 17-10 -16.66 23.51 -1.37 0.91 40.37
3 A LIU (10- 7, 74.9) 18- 2 -24.98 15.19 1.37 0.91 30.19
3 H Massachusetts- ( 6-10, 79.2) 12- 6 -20.72 19.44 -1.37 0.91 32.96
3 H Connecticut ( 7-10, 85.3) 8-12 -14.59 25.58 -1.37 0.91 -7.28
3 A Dartmouth ( 8- 7, 90.2) 17-14 -9.67 30.50 1.37 0.91 58.10
3 A Youngstown Sta ( 3-13, 72.3) 21- 3 -27.62 12.55 1.37 0.91 25.38
3 H Central Michig ( 4-12, 74.4) 22- 1 -25.50 14.67 -1.37 0.91 24.25
3 A Robert Morris ( 6-12, 75.4) 18- 6 -24.46 15.71 1.37 0.91 31.14
3 H Bryant (10- 7, 83.6) 23- 7 -16.28 23.89 -1.37 0.91 41.07
3 H Akron (12- 5, 80.4) 18-10 -19.51 20.66 -1.37 0.91 35.18
3 H Columbia ( 7- 8, 83.4) 20- 9 -16.51 23.66 -1.37 0.91 40.64
3 A Eastern Michig (10- 7, 79.5) 14- 4 -20.39 19.78 1.37 0.91 38.56
3 A Detroit Mercy ( 0-12, 66.0) 22- 3 -33.94 6.23 1.37 0.91 13.85
3 H Kent State ( 7-10, 75.9) 19- 5 -24.04 16.12 -1.37 0.91 26.91
3 A Robert Morris ( 6-12, 75.4) 14- 5 -24.46 15.71 1.37 0.91 31.14
3 N Akron (12- 5, 80.4) 15- 3 -19.51 20.66 -0.00 0.91 37.67
3 A Navy (20- 2, 93.0) 16-17 -6.87 33.29 1.37 0.91 -2.51
------
536.33
|
winning pts = 548.4773 losing points = -12.1488
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------